

Given how vital Step 2 CK is now that Step 1 is pass-fail, you may wonder why predicting Step 2 CK performance is so tricky. However, the upper bound is 261, 15 points higher than estimated. The lower range is 233, only three points below the predicted score. Second, note that the Step 2 CK NBMEs likely underpredict one’s score. It is bonkers that there could be such a dramatic range on such a high-stakes exam. For example, 233 is roughly the 20th percentile, whereas 261 would be approximately the 83rd percentile. This range is based on students who took CCSSA within one week before taking Step 2 CK.įirst of all, note that it is an insane range.

We anticipate that your actual performance on Step 2 CK will fall in the range of 233-261 about two-thirds of the time. Like prior NBMEs, the new Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs) appear to underpredict Step 2 CK scores on average That said, the NBME still gives us a rough estimate of the accuracy of the NBMEs.įor example, this student had a predicted score of 238 on CBSSA 11. Unfortunately, as noted above, the NBME stopped publishing granular breakdowns of the accuracy of the NBMEs. What About the Predictive Value of the Newest Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs) Here, we can see a < 1/3 chance your NBME will overpredict your Step 1 score. The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 21 lower than the last NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 11 lower than the last NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 1 lower than the last NBME within one week: We can do the same analysis for the likelihood that your score will be lower than predicted. (By comparison, many fewer Step 1 students will accomplish this feat). It implies that roughly 1 in 4 students will score at least 20 points higher on their actual test than predicted by the Step 2 CK NBME. Those statistics are pretty remarkable, particularly for Step 2 CK. The likelihood that the final score is ≥ 20 than NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≥ 10 than NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is equal/higher than the last NBME within one week: Here are some interesting statistics, according to the NBME’s data: Viewed side-by-side, Step 2 CK NBMEs likely underpredict your final score. (Note: these data were available for CCSSA Forms 6-8 current CCSSAs do NOT provide this data).Īctual Step 1 and Step 2 CK Scores Minus Score Predicted by NBME Within 1 Week of Exam Step 2 CK NBMEs Have Traditionally Underpredicted Final Scores (Often By a Lot) However, looking at the spread in prior years between expected performance and final score, we see that Step 2 CK NBMEs have (traditionally) much less predictive value. The NBME has tightened up reporting on how accurate the predicted scores are (read: they stopped telling us). Combined with the fact that there have usually been many fewer Step 2 CK practice tests than for Step 1, few exams lead to test anxiety than Step 2 NBMEs. Step 2 CK Performance Is More Variable Than Step 1įor years, it’s been clear that NBME scores for Step 2 CK vary much more than those for Step 1.

Comprehensive Clinical Science Self-Assessments (CCSSA) Forms 9, 10, 11, and 12įorms 9, 10, and 11 were introduced on July 28, 2021, and replaced Forms 6-8.What Can We Do to Maximize Our Step 2 CK Scores?Ĭurrently, there are four NBME practice exams for Step 2 CK.Why Is Step 2 CK Performance More Variable?.What About the Predictive Value of the Newest Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs).But Step 2 CK Scores Can Still Be Lower.Step 2 CK NBMEs Have Traditionally Underpredicted Final Scores (Often By a Lot).Step 2 CK Performance Is More Variable Than Step 1.
Usmle practice test step 2 ck how to#
Written by the author of the popular USMLE Step 3 Triage, this book is optimal for either individual or group study and for any student interested in reviewing how to practice applying medical knowledge and patient-centered skills. Each case contains detailed and relevant information on presenting complaints and conditions, with pertinent points highlighted and boxed for easy review. Comprehensive yet succinct, the cases address almost all possible exam scenarios, including telephone cases and difficult patient encounters. Cases are organized for straightforward learning: a sample dialogue that mimics actual doctor-patient communication is followed by guidelines on performing the physical exam, ending the case, writing the patient note, and outlining the differential diagnosis. USMLE Step 2 Clinical Skills Triage by Kevin Schwechten USMLE Step 2 Clinical Skills Triage is the indispensable preparation book for the Step 2 Clinical Skills exam, presenting 40 high-yield patient-encounter cases that simulate the examination experience.
